Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 973.208239 1095.801099 1229.465017 1386.275245 1565.522544 1764.395260 2002.269602
2026-01-11 782.404913 948.381742 1144.649105 1394.958686 1707.270239 2086.113559 2583.534030
2026-01-18 673.083427 857.644603 1088.305089 1399.968149 1813.453248 2347.876113 3098.481325
2026-01-25 607.602959 806.215722 1065.893622 1433.867611 1947.664811 2648.161685 3690.167576
2026-02-01 554.366109 761.365955 1042.645806 1457.922798 2064.122732 2930.247608 4285.957106
2026-02-08 508.413545 719.672805 1016.646692 1471.342336 2161.982705 3191.312183 4878.909829
2026-02-15 470.955387 685.091204 995.507929 1486.834225 2260.861204 3460.459899 5514.230848
2026-02-22 442.513019 660.217850 984.968630 1515.220965 2379.817846 3770.437231 6251.973301
2026-03-01 402.815249 614.226542 937.475512 1479.722605 2390.852051 3904.893294 6707.674089
2026-03-08 365.747837 568.837599 886.418456 1432.474231 2375.699696 3991.042275 7085.271458
2026-03-15 333.388594 528.101315 839.008482 1386.059893 2355.821005 4064.521872 7445.515479
2026-03-22 321.804550 520.004628 843.761662 1427.982033 2493.583739 4431.143178 8405.982628
2026-03-29 305.996313 503.997627 834.584292 1445.858873 2592.118365 4741.370241 9309.987490
2026-04-05 289.844071 486.133396 820.758610 1454.104755 2673.790717 5029.641056 10213.599150
2026-04-12 274.770099 468.840841 806.292745 1459.362549 2749.532156 5313.849492 11148.987481
2026-04-19 265.549640 461.088404 808.009065 1494.859167 2887.802080 5739.421795 12458.590877
2026-04-26 255.564933 451.111747 804.707607 1520.050355 3007.469975 6139.924704 13773.233377
2026-05-03 244.868941 438.969335 796.296140 1534.104519 3105.091553 6504.203385 15059.442791
2026-05-10 235.261455 428.115997 789.382249 1550.329827 3208.688666 6893.573495 16469.701055
2026-05-17 227.935618 421.035987 789.112945 1580.062622 3344.674387 7372.745520 18187.867866
2026-05-24 213.598173 399.361972 758.490891 1542.881423 3326.708502 7489.751185 18972.544608
2026-05-31 199.065315 376.350315 723.564671 1493.400052 3275.420314 7520.563994 19527.936307
2026-06-07 185.720957 354.872853 690.300893 1444.799968 3221.381645 7538.462381 20051.207639